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Death of ICE cars

PerformanceSound

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Well although not well explained technically it's basically true. The electricity system needs to respond to loads and generators are brought on line and off line as part of that process for different hours of the day and different circumstances. So hot nights with everyone at home with their A/C's on is a different load profile on the system to middle of a cool day or weekend. It also needs the frequency held to fairly tight tolerances so the US works on 115 volts and 60HZ where here its 240/50. If the frequency goes wild then it's good by Irene to your electrically powered stuff. It's part of the reason that having renewables like solar fitted to houses and inputting energy back into the grid makes it hard to manage for the grid supplier.
The poster was just outlining some of the complications I think in delivering electricity to the average power outlet. In the background there's complex "stuff" going on.

Phil
Phil, I tried wording it as “loosely” as possible because this forum (im sure) doesn’t want to dive in to the nitty gritty details of power quality….I mean, I’d rather discuss big turbos and 1/4 mile times than sine waves and quality of wiring and systems hehe. However, “let’s make every car an EV by 2030” is absolutely ridiculous and damn near impossible to own and operate in the US.
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lucky phil

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Phil, I tried wording it as “loosely” as possible because this forum (im sure) doesn’t want to dive in to the nitty gritty details of power quality….I mean, I’d rather discuss big turbos and 1/4 mile times than sine waves and quality of wiring and systems hehe. However, “let’s make every car an EV by 2030” is absolutely ridiculous and damn near impossible to own and operate in the US.
Yea I thought thats what the issue was. Here's a fun fact. To achieve what all the "green people" want, IE the world converted to electric, so wind turbines, solar panels, electric cars etc requires a 400% increase in the production of copper alone. Currently it takes 17 years to get a copper mine from concept to delivering the first ton of ore and the clowns that want the full electric world are also the same clowns that want mining to cease. Well good luck with the electrification of the world by renewables. Thats of course only the Copper issue the production of other minerals such as Lithium also need ramping up by as much as 200% so you see where this is going.
What amazes me is the performance car people jumping onto the electric car/bike bandwagon. The speed and driving restrictions in the wester world are getting more and more draconian by the year so who cares if your Tesla make 1000hp, you can't use it anywhere on the public roads. I'll trade a car with way less horsepower with "character" every day over a mobile whitegood with zero personality and a ton of power.

Phil
 
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FLtrackdays

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Yea I thought thats what the issue was. Here's a fun fact. To achieve what all the "green people" want, IE the world converted to electric, so wind turbines, solar panels, electric cars etc requires a 400% increase in the production of copper alone. Currently it takes 17 years to get a copper mine from concept to delivering the first ton of ore and the clowns that want the full electric world are also the same clowns that want mining to cease. Well good luck with the electrification of the world by renewables. Thats of course only the Copper issue the production of other minerals such as Lithium also need ramping up by as much as 200% so you see where this is going.
What amazes me is the performance car people jumping onto the electric car/bike bandwagon. The speed and driving restrictions in the wester world are getting more and more draconian by the year so who cares if your Tesla make 1000hp, you can't use it anywhere on the public roads. I'll trade a car with way less horsepower with "character" every day over a mobile whitegood with zero personality and a ton of power.

Phil
Phil, I tried wording it as “loosely” as possible because this forum (im sure) doesn’t want to dive in to the nitty gritty details of power quality….I mean, I’d rather discuss big turbos and 1/4 mile times than sine waves and quality of wiring and systems hehe. However, “let’s make every car an EV by 2030” is absolutely ridiculous and damn near impossible to own and operate in the US.
Why can’t you guys do the government research or journalism? Either y’all are conspiracy theorist (what you’re called if we don’t understand or like your answers) or just old dinosaurs that don’t want change. That’s the typical response I get when I ask on the car magazine forums/comment sections.

I obviously know way less than you guys (in all seriousness and respect ✊?). Partly because this information isn’t being shared anywhere on a larger public scale. Why is this happening? Used to be you could have honest debate and figure things out. It isn’t just cars. And ofc I won’t even go there ? I’d love to see you guys doing some articles on MotorTrend, Car & Driver or Road & Track. It’d be great to hear a wider point of view.

While watching F1 yesterday, Sky network asked Mercedes what they were doing to promote the zero carbon emission green effort. They said they were asking everyone at Monza to walk to the event ? I kid you not! I was expecting them to say “buy our Mercedes zero emission cars”, or something worthy of keeping them in business. You’d think?!?! So is this where we’re really going? Guess Europe is also along for the 2030 (deadline) zero emission ride ?

So that’s my dumb point with this thread - death of ICE cars. When can we realistically get there and what’s cost? There needs to be healthy debate and more transparency. From all sides ? Beats asking the Bing chat AI ?

The US is getting its first new nuclear reactor in 40 years

https://grist.org/energy/first-us-nuclear-reactor-40-years-online-georgia/
That’s fantastic news ? And sure beats walking! Here in the US everything is so damn spread out, public transit isn’t a reality for rural Americans. Fan of nuclear ☢ or not, I don’t see any other way of producing that kind of power. Japan ?? has adapted far quicker than we have. Side bonus: home prices should be cheaper near these things ?.

Don’t know. How we’ll solve the electricity flux problem the smart peeps in the room are talking about. But we’re going to need a lot more of these ☢ fired up and fast ⚡ Oh, and a lot more minerals like @lucky phil said!!
 
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PerformanceSound

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Why can’t you guys do the government research or journalism? Either y’all are conspiracy theorist (what you’re called if we don’t understand or like your answers) or just old dinosaurs that don’t want change. That’s the typical response I get when I ask on the car magazine forums/comment sections.

I obviously know way less than you guys (in all seriousness and respect ✊?). Partly because this information isn’t being shared anywhere on a larger public scale. Why is this happening? Used to be you could have honest debate and figure things out. It isn’t just cars. And ofc I won’t even go there ? I’d love to see you guys doing some articles on MotorTrend, Car & Driver or Road & Track. It’d be great to hear a wider point of view.

While watching F1 yesterday, Sky network asked Mercedes what they were doing to promote the zero carbon emission green effort. They said they were asking everyone at Monza to walk to the event ? I kid you not! I was expecting them to say “buy our Mercedes zero emission cars”, or something worthy of keeping them in business. You’d think?!?! So is this where we’re really going? Guess Europe is also along for the 2030 (deadline) zero emission ride ?

So that’s my dumb point with this thread - death of ICE cars. When can we realistically get there and what’s cost? There needs to be healthy debate and more transparency. From all sides ? Beats asking the Bing chat AI ?



That’s fantastic news ? And sure beats walking! Here in the US everything is so damn spread out, public transit isn’t a reality for rural Americans. Fan of nuclear ☢ or not, I don’t see any other way of producing that kind of power. Japan ?? has adapted far quicker than we have. Side bonus: home prices should be cheaper near these things ?.

Don’t know. How we’ll solve the electricity flux problem the smart peeps in the room are talking about. But we’re going to need a lot more of these ☢ fired up and fast ⚡ Oh, and a lot more minerals like @lucky phil said!!
Just to be clear, im not “anti-EV.” Electric motors are hands down way more efficient than a gasoline or diesel engine….there is no argument. The problem is and has always been refueling and availability. Remember, Tesla’s are not that old….they’ve only been on the roads since 2012 and it wasn’t until the model 3 in 2016 that mass production really took off….that’s 7yrs ago, we still don’t really know their long term impacts on the US grid. As Phil mentioned, the time, money, and effort it would take to re-equip/update the electrical grid in the US to handle higher loads is astronomical. I get the need to go cleaner, but I feel like we are too much in a reactive state of mind instead of proactive. Putting a deadline on something that we are not prepared for is flat out wrong. There is so much involved into electrical systems that the majority of people don’t understand. For example, imagine buying a $70k EV only to see it catch fire because the charging station you left it plugged into wasn’t installed, setup, or maintained to handle the load? Who would be able to prove what happened?…and yes, it’s been happening. The government is pouring billions into companies to expedite this process and those companies are not saying “no we can’t do it.” It’s money, who says no to money right? Engineers have known this for decades, and it’s the reason gas cars have dominated for decades. So, all this propaganda about how oil companies destroyed the electric car is crap….it was the unrealistic ventures of electric cars that made gas cars even more popular. Anyhow, hopefully we all come to a happy median.
 

XtremeMaC

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Biden administration is offering $12 billion in grants and loans for auto makers and suppliers to retrofit their plants to produce electric and other advanced vehicles.

https://www.reuters.com/business/au...-suppliers-make-advanced-vehicles-2023-08-31/

"retrofit" to produce lol. OEMs are trying to retrofit their ICE engineers to become e-motor experts overnight. Both are laughable.
Could say retrofit the assy lines to assemble electric car components into the car... That's about it.

G.M.’s Electric Vehicle Rollout Delayed by Slow Battery Production
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/25/business/general-motors-electric-vehicles-profits.html

No shit?



Yeehaww just lost power again 9.30pm. Est tomorrow 3am per DTE. some say Tuesday 10pm. Where my electric cars at. Yo Biden, I need to retrofit my house to be off the grid, gimme grant monies.
 
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KahnBB6

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On the note of a Telsa's powerful off the line acceleration "never" getting old... I beg to differ to an extent.

Having driven a Tesla Model 3 dual motor long range model recently I was certainly impressed by its 450hp-ish rated powertrain off the line and at speed. However with my driving style the range went down faster than it did when the car's owner was driving it.

But I felt all of the 4,000+lbs of cub weight. Reaching the limit of the adhesion capability of the factory tires while driving it hard and constantly shifting the weight around was my main concern had I pushed even harder. I of course backed off once I'd had a taste for what it could do.

Visually I hated its exterior and especially its totally not driver oriented interior. Not for me. Very boring.

I spent several times with my friend the owner at supercharger and regular charging stations (in Los Angeles) and my takeaway was that the supercharger stations worked fairly well even when other cars brought down the maximum kilowatt hours possible to push into the battery pack. Getting up to 85% charged or so from however low the pack was at the time took anywhere from 15-35min. It was a bit of a chore but not too bad at the end of the day.

The non-Tesla charging stations were the ones that almost always disappointed. So there is certainly a lot of work to do getting the overall charging infrastructure and grid to a better standard of reliability and efficiency.

Lithium-ion won't be the technology that we're stuck with forever either.

But... back to EV acceleration.... yes it is impressive in a straight line. But beyond a 0-60 of 5.5 seconds anything is fun. What is REALLY fun is how the car feels at ALL speeds and in challenging road course or public road conditions.

My GTE Lexus SC (5-speed manual) can be beaten by a lot of cars today (near stock boost) but it does have a relatively great power band with old school turbo spooling characteristics but delivering plenty of torque and horsepower. That is FAR slower than the Tesla I drove and I still find it more preferable to drive in terms of how it *feels*.

Same with my GR86 (6-speed manual). It's even slower to 60, has no kick in the pants from a turbo but again feels great to drive even at extremely normal speeds.

Hybrids (including series hybrids) and full BEVs are fast coming into manufacturer lineups and some will deliver a far better car for people like us than others will.

And while great 0-60 times will be appreciated, that's the easy part with any EV. The hard part for them is going to be engineering something that feels fantastic to drive (and which is designed for hardcore driving enthusiasts) REGARDLESS of its 0-60 capabilities.

Traditional manual ICE enthusiast cars will always be uniquely different from BEV enthusiast vehicles... but with upcoming better technology and with some manufacturers taking a 180-degree opposite approach from how Tesla, Rivian, Ford and VW are currently going about their EV offerings I do feel that genuinely fun enthusiast cars that we'll actually like and love will be possible... just not the way those companies are doing it.

As to the charging infrastructure and power grid topics... we are still a long way from where we need to be on both fronts by 2035 and progress is slow right now. I'm an optimist about it but the government and private investment needed have to go up to get close to the targets.

As mentioned above it is the regulations on how cars can be operated in general that concern me far more than any worry that the grid won't be significantly improved in time or that battery cell technology won't improve in time.

Gasoline availability might have contracted some by 2035 but we'll be using some ICEs well into the 2050's even so. I just think whatever high octane fuel we'll have by then will be a lot more expensive per gallon than it is right now. I'll have my classics alongside whatever EV is designed as a proper driver's machine should be.
 
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FLtrackdays

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On the note of a Telsa's powerful off the line acceleration "never" getting old... I beg to differ to an

As to the charging infrastructure and power grid topics... we are still a long way from where we need to be on both fronts by 2035 and progress is slow right now. I'm an optimist about it but the government and private investment needed have to go up to get close to the targets.

As mentioned above it is the regulations on how cars can be operated in general that concern me far more than any worry that the grid won't be significantly improved in time or that battery cell technology won't improve in time.

Gasoline availability might have contracted some by 2035 but we'll be using some ICEs well into the 2050's even so. I just think whatever high octane fuel we'll have by then will be a lot more expensive per gallon than it is right now. I'll have my classics alongside whatever EV is designed as a proper driver's machine should be.
I’m with ya. They are fun as shit and fast ? Can we get to 50% by 2030? Maybe… at what cost? That I don’t know either. It’d be nice to see more info on that front. Hence nuclear ☢ power to do it quickly (if they can even be built that fast) or… do without? Rolling blackouts? Like Germany, some areas in CA and TX. Or like they seriously suggested at the Monza Grand Prix - walk. If anyone else watched the pre-race commentary on Sky, they had a whole segment on it. I agree we can do more. Carpool where you can or use trains if you live in Europe or large US cities. However, the rest of America will be screwed and/or bankrupt -if we try to meet such a massive deadline. Just my silly opinion ofc. [I’d like to see less spending right now given our current inflation. Figure out what you can afford before you commit] - pipe dream, but since we’re all talking nicely ?‍♂
 
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KahnBB6

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^^ Today's grid infrastructure won't be as limited as it is in 2023. We can't look at it in a static way. Will it require a lot of government and private investment to improve it? Certainly, and that's what is ramping up for the next couple of decades as a long term effort.

Yeah, we'll probably need some more nuclear power plants. Hopefully thorium based LFTRs rather than refined uranium traditional fission reactors which all have the risk of catastrophic meltdown that thorium nuclear and molten salt nuclear do not.

That plus the renewable sources in strategic locations.

It's the same with battery cell technology. With today's lithium ion technology it is series hybrids which can sip gasoline which make the most sense for the broadest applications. A leapfrog in battery cell technology and that paradigm will change in favor of BEVs.

I'm not so worried about meeting the challenges of the overall transition itself. It's herculean but possible. I'm much more concerned about what future BEVs will be built by enthusiast engineers and designers in stark opposition to current designs, fast as they can be in a straight line for a few pulls.

The driveline technology and type changing is inevitable. I just want some manufacturer divisions staffed by car enthusiast engineers building some various models that are fun, possible to attain and which make you love to drive the MACHINES, rather than just sit in it and play with onerous touchscreens all over the place. And which don't nickel and dime you every month for features and capabilities already built into the hardware you've paid for.
 
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PerformanceSound

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We won't be at full EV's sales by 2030....that is wishful thinking. I will remind this forum in 6 1/2 years. Nuclear power doesn't mean we will be able to support the spike in EV recharging, we can already made enough power....the issue is the power delivery. Our infrastructure is old as shit and in many big cities, delivery will actually be slower because of population and traffic that will slow down upgrades. Hybrid is the future, or Hydrogen if they can invest more in making it.
 

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2035 is the cutoff for new gasoline and new diesel private passenger vehicle sales in the U.S., not 2030. Commercial vehicles and semis get a later timeframe-- I don't recall what it is offhand, sorry.
 

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All I know is this. There is a parallel situation, I agree a tenuous one between ICE cars and motorcycles and EV's and the the jet age aircraft and the piston engine aircraft. I spent my whole career working on and flying at the pointy end Commercial jet aircraft and believe me the Jet engine is a magnificent thing. Massive power, smooth, efficient and very reliable, much like an EV. But like an EV totally soulless. Go to an air show and what are people drawn to and most interested in? Like me old WW2 piston powered aircraft. Where are people drawn to, the starting and takeoff of an F16 or a Mustang or B17? Answer, it's not the F16. What would pilots give their left testicle to have the chance to fly? Same.
I have no doubt at all EV's can have massive power and dynamic abilities but a huge part of my enjoyment in both cars and motorcycles for me is the ICE. It's a visceral thing. The piston engine has it and the electric motor does not. Simple as that.

Phil
 

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Unfortunately people cannot make decisions for themselves. They blindly follow what their favorite politician is telling them without putting any effort into comprehending what is being said about the big picture. I feel the only way things such as nuclear generation for our electric and hydrogen power for our vehicles will get any support is when a popular enough politician has the guts to put their income on the line and says that we should be looking into this. Until then it’ll be status quo.
 
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FLtrackdays

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Unfortunately people cannot make decisions for themselves. They blindly follow what their favorite politician is telling them without putting any effort into comprehending what is being said about the big picture. I feel the only way things such as nuclear generation for our electric and hydrogen power for our vehicles will get any support is when a popular enough politician has the guts to put their income on the line and says that we should be looking into this. Until then it’ll be status quo.
Feels like there are less sheep ? talking to y’all and maybe even some hope ?

We won't be at full EV's sales by 2030....that is wishful thinking. I will remind this forum in 6 1/2 years. Nuclear power doesn't mean we will be able to support the spike in EV recharging, we can already made enough power....the issue is the power delivery. Our infrastructure is old as shit and in many big cities, delivery will actually be slower because of population and traffic that will slow down upgrades. Hybrid is the future, or Hydrogen if they can invest more in making it.
Damn I was really hoping we’d have a “nuclear” option. But if hybrid or hydrogen can do it, I’m all in ?
 

PerformanceSound

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Damn I was really hoping we’d have a “nuclear” option. But if hybrid or hydrogen can do it, I’m all in ?
I meant nuclear generator stations, not nuclear powered cars. Lol.
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